DALE DIXON

The Presence Lab Podcast · Season 5, Episode 294

The Hedge

How to sound confident when someone challenges you without pretending to be certain about things you cannot know.

Episode 294

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Dale Dixon with the words “When to Hedge” beside a hedge made from uncertainty words including maybe, could, think, and probably.

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The Presence Lab, Episode 294

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Under pressure, a strong recommendation can quietly turn into “I think maybe we could…” even when the facts have not changed. The problem is not the word maybe. The problem is why it showed up.

Hedge the unknown. Own what you know.

Dale Dixon · The Presence Lab Podcast

What does hedging mean in communication?

Hedging is language that reduces the force or certainty of what you are saying. Words such as “maybe,” “could,” “might,” “probably,” “just,” and “I think” can be useful when the information itself is uncertain. They become a problem when they appear simply because the speaker feels pressure.

A leader may walk into a room prepared to say, “We should move the launch to October.” Then somebody disagrees. Nothing factual changes, but the sentence becomes, “Well, I think maybe October gives us a little more time.” That is the hedge this episode is about.

Does the uncertainty belong to the information, or did I put it there because I got uncomfortable?

What does confident communication sound like under pressure?

Confident communication matches the strength of the language to the strength of the evidence. In a 2023 CNBC conversation with Becky Quick, Target CEO Brian Cornell described the American consumer as “resilient.” Quick characterized his comments as describing a “healthy” consumer. Cornell corrected the distinction: “The term I use is resilient.”

Healthy and resilient are not identical claims. Cornell was discussing household budget pressure, inflation, changing spending patterns, and caution among consumers. In Dale’s communication analysis, Cornell did not grab the stronger-sounding word simply because it was offered. He stayed with the word the evidence supported.

When discussing Target’s decision to close nine stores, Cornell’s language was much more direct because he was describing a decision the company had actually made. The lesson is not “sound certain.” Be certain where the evidence allows certainty. Be careful where it does not.

Why do people hedge when their ideas are challenged?

Pressure can cause people to soften language before they have consciously decided to change their position. “We should move ahead with this” becomes “I think maybe we should look at moving ahead with this.” “We’re changing the way we handle these accounts” becomes “I just think this could probably make us a little more efficient.”

Just. Think. Could. Probably. A little. By the time we get to efficient, we’ve wrapped the idea in bubble wrap.

The extra language creates distance between the speaker and the recommendation. It is not a character flaw. It is a normal pressure response, and it can be trained.

When should a leader hedge an answer?

A leader should qualify an answer when the facts, evidence, timing, or future outcome genuinely remain uncertain. Predictive questions such as “What happens next?”, “Could this happen again?”, “Will there be layoffs?”, “How much will this cost?”, and “When will everything return to normal?” ask for knowledge no amount of confidence can create.

Sounding confident and seeing around corners are two different things.

Use the crisis communication structure: Own it. Fix it. Prevent it. “We’ve identified the cause. We’ve made these three changes. We’re continuing to investigate.” Each statement is strong because it can be supported. Confidence is not permission to promise an unknowable future.

How do I stop weakening my message under pressure?

Train the habit before the high-stakes meeting. The goal is not to eliminate uncertainty words. It is to notice why they are there.

Separate what you know from what you cannot know

Try this before your next difficult meeting

Pick one real recommendation you need to make. Write it in one sentence. Remove every uncertainty word. Then put back only the words that make the statement more accurate. Say the clean version aloud three times.

  1. Have somebody challenge it: “Why?”
  2. Try: “I disagree.”
  3. Try: “That’s too risky.”
  4. Try: “What makes you so sure?”
  5. Notice what happens to your next sentence.

The first sentence shows how you communicate when you’re prepared. The second shows what pressure does to your language.

Does hedging affect how credible a speaker sounds?

Research has found that frequent hedges and hesitations can affect how authoritative or credible a speaker appears, although much of the research comes from courtroom and controlled-study settings rather than executive boardrooms. These studies do not demonstrate that every hedge makes every executive sound weak in every setting.

Learn, then practice

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References

Sources and further reading

  • Speech style and impression formation in a court setting: The effects of “powerful” and “powerless” speech

    Erickson, Lind, Johnson, and O’Barr · Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 14, 266–279 (1978)

  • The evaluative consequences of hedges, hesitations, and intensifiers

    Hosman · Human Communication Research, 15(3), 383–406 (1989)

  • Powerful and Powerless Language Forms

    Hosman and Siltanen · Journal of Language and Social Psychology, 25(1), 33–46 (2006)

  • O’Barr and Atkins (1980)

    Cited in the episode for the definitional treatment of hedging language.

Common questions

Questions about this episode

What is hedging in communication?

Hedging is language that reduces the strength or certainty of a statement. Words such as “maybe,” “might,” “probably,” “just,” and “I think” can signal useful uncertainty or unnecessary hesitation depending on why they are being used.

Does saying “I think” make you sound less confident?

It can when the phrase adds uncertainty to something you already know or recommend. If “I think” accurately describes incomplete information, it may be appropriate. The useful question is whether the uncertainty belongs to the facts or to your reaction to pressure.

How can I sound more confident when someone challenges me?

Start with a clear recommendation, listen for unnecessary qualifiers, and keep your original sentence when pushback introduces no new evidence. If new information changes the facts, change your position rather than merely defending it.

When is hedging appropriate for a leader?

Hedging is appropriate when evidence is incomplete, a future outcome cannot be known, or the answer genuinely requires qualification. Accurate uncertainty builds more credibility than false certainty.

How do I stop saying “maybe,” “just,” and “I think” so often?

Practice hearing those words in low-stakes conversation. Each time one appears, ask whether it made the sentence more accurate. Remove it if it only made the sentence feel safer.

What should I say when I do not know the answer?

Say clearly what you know, name what you do not know, and make your recommendation from the information available. Acknowledging the boundary of your knowledge is stronger than pretending certainty.

One line to carry with you

The line to carry into the next hard room

Credibility isn’t built by sounding certain. It’s built by being accurate about where certainty ends.

Hedge the unknown. Own what you know.